A note on Hubbert's hypotheses and techniques - Mines Paris Accéder directement au contenu
Autre Publication Année : 2011

A note on Hubbert's hypotheses and techniques

Pierre-Noël Giraud
  • Fonction : Auteur
  • PersonId : 963724

Résumé

Many have attempted to forecast the date of the production peak and the volume of the ultimate reserves of a mineral commodity, using techniques derived from Hubbert's thesis. This note aims at exploring the scientific foundations and therefore the scope of validity of these forecasting techniques. Looking at the basic assumptions of Hubbert's thesis, it concludes that these techniques should not be used to forecast neither the peak (or plateau) of the annual production rate, nor the ultimate reserves of any mineral, unless given exceptional conditions.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
CWP_1103.pdf (372.36 Ko) Télécharger le fichier
Origine Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)

Dates et versions

hal-00582825 , version 1 (04-04-2011)
hal-00582825 , version 2 (27-04-2011)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-00582825 , version 2

Citer

Pierre-Noël Giraud. A note on Hubbert's hypotheses and techniques. 2011. ⟨hal-00582825v2⟩
629 Consultations
425 Téléchargements

Partager

Gmail Mastodon Facebook X LinkedIn More